Tipping Point’s View: Rd 15 Tips

Our tipping guru is back as usual with another round of tips. Last week was not the best week for anyone given there were some upsets but this week has to be better. If you happen to be stuck, the guru is here to guide you who he believes can get the job done.

Round 15 Tips

Season: 60/109 (55%) – Last week: 0/4 (ouch)

At a glance: Manly, Cowboys, Warriors, Bulldogs, Knights, Broncos, Roosters

Manly v Tigers, Brookvale Oval

Manly at Brookvale? Shut the gate: it’s Manly all the way. The Tigers showed plenty of mongrel last week against a lacklustre Souths, but taking on the Silvertails – a side desperate to get off the wooden spoon – is a massive undertaking, especially without Farah. Manly also have their regular 1, 6, 7 and 9 on-board for this fixture and I expect them to notch their seventh straight win over the Tigers at Brookie.

Tip: Manly

Raiders v Cowboys, GIO Stadium

With four players backing up from Origin on a cold Canberra afternoon I think this is a danger game for the Cowboys. While they’ve won ten straight, their last couple of wins have been by narrow margins and you sense they’re due for a loss. The Raiders have been demons in attack during the day in 2015, and fresh off a bye and with a full strength squad I think they’re a big hope. Their defence worries me though, and JT could potentially run riot on the edges – provided he backs up from what was a torrid Origin. I’m going to stick with the Cowboys, only because I’ve been burned tipping the Raiders at home so many times this year, and their performance against the Broncos post-Origin 1 a few weeks ago was less than encouraging.

Tip: Cowboys

Titans v Warriors, Cbus Super Stadium

The NRL’s two most unreliable teams square off in the week’s biggest coin toss. The Warriors: terrible on the road, badly out of form but with a good record over the Gold Coast; the Titans: terrible at home (especially at night), but playing decent footy which, given their roster and injury toll, makes you wonder what Neil Henry’s team talks are like. I’ve tipped the Warriors in back-to-back weeks and been majorly disappointed, but they were a smidge unlucky against the Roosters with injuries and reshuffles severely hampering them. I think they’re due for a win and this is exactly the kind of game they win (usually in the last few minutes).

Tip: Warriors

Bulldogs v Panthers, ANZ Stadium

I’m not going to mince words: I really like the Dogs here. They should welcome back all five of their Origin players and have a bit too much firepower up front for the Panthers. Brett Morris also makes such a difference to this side, and I reckon Hodkinson will play well after a solid performance in Origin. It ought to be a willing contest, but the Dogs get home in this for mine.

Tip: Bulldogs

Knights v Sharks, Hunter Stadium

This is an awkward tip. Neither side is in overly convincing form (collectively they’ve won three of their last ten), but I lean slightly to the Knights, despite their atrocious recent record. With Tyrone Roberts back in the side, Gidley back at fullback and playing on a Sunday afternoon, I think they’ll come out all guns blazing. The Sharks are just not to be trusted on the road, and it just feels like one of those games when the Knights will really aim up and skip away to a good early lead – the kind of game where Uate bags a hat-trick and Roberts has a field day.

Tip: Knights

Storm v Broncos, AAMI Park

What a shame this game has been scheduled during Origin! It would’ve been an absolute blockbuster. While the Storm are narrow favourites in the game and have a brilliant record over Brisbane (and even better in Melbourne), I’m taking Brisbane here. Slater’s season-ending injury is a massive blow, Cronk is still out injured and the Broncos have been on fire lately. They ought to get the job done.

Tip: Broncos

Dragons v Roosters, Allianz Stadium

A tricky way to end the week with a repeat of the round eight fixture, which was also played at Allianz Stadium. The Dragons got the result that night, but I expect it to be reversed for Monday Night Football. The Roosters ground out a solid win over the Warriors last week, and with their Origin contingent coming through reasonably unscathed I think they’ll overpower the Dragons. The Roosters are also Monday night specialists, and boast a good record over the Red V. With the exception of that poor showing against the Sharks, they’ve been ominous in the last six weeks and will win this game.

Tip: Roosters

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