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He is back again to guide you through the NRL tips this week. Yep, you heard right, Tipping Point, the Tipping Guru has returned. By his own admission, last week was not one of his best but even the elite get a few wrong. With a healthy overall tipping percentage still high, though, he is primed to bounce back and increase that this week. So if you’re not sure to tip, use his guide to help you.
Round 6 Tips
Season: 24/40 (60%); last week: 4/8
At a glance: Broncos, Rabbitohs, Eels, Warriors, Panthers, Sharks, Knights, Bulldogs
Broncos v Dragons, Suncorp Stadium
This match-up is just fodder for tipsters: itâ€™s the Broncs all the way. Coming off a 36-point hiding and a five-day turn-around, the Dragons couldnâ€™t face a more formidable opponent than the Broncos at Suncorp. The Red Vâ€™s offence is diabolical at present, and they just simply will not have the points to match Brisbane. It wonâ€™t be a runaway victory, but Brisbane are entitled to win this without too many anxious moments.
Rabbitohs v Roosters, ANZ Stadium
Seems like only yesterday that these sides squared-up in round one, and the Bunnies will be hoping to make it consecutive wins over their arch-rivals. Things have gone from bad to worse for the Tri-colours since Souths touched them up 42-10, and find themselves anchored to the bottom of the ladder without a win to their name. While they came close against the Warriors last week â€“ and I always like backing sides coming off a narrow loss the week before â€“ a reasonably steady Bunnies outfit will be too great a challenge, especially with Adam Reynolds tipped to return.
Eels v Raiders, Pirtek Stadium
With two form sides this shapes as one of the matches of the round. The Raiders stunned the Doggies on their return to Belmore last round and will be looking to make it consecutive road wins and solidify their top-four spot. The Eels will be smarting after their last-ditch loss to the Panthers last week and wonâ€™t want to disappoint their supporters in back-to-back fixtures. While the Raiders have won six of their last seven against the Eels, including a win in golden point in round 26 last year, I do worry about how theyâ€™ll shape-up after a massive effort over the Doggies and on the short turn-around from Monday night. I lean to the Eels but thereâ€™s not much in it.
Warriors v Sea-Eagles, Mt Smart Stadium
Another week rolls around, and itâ€™s yet another awkward Warriors tip. While they are on a two-match winning streak, theyâ€™ve hardly been convincing in knocking over the Knights and Roosters who are yet to post a win all season. Theyâ€™ll be coming up against a side with a great record over them and a strong record at Mt Smart Stadium. That said, itâ€™s very hard to take Manly without DCE and with a lightweight forward pack that may struggle for any dominance in the middle. Iâ€™ll be taking the Warriors, but Iâ€™m about as confident as Jorge Taufua under a high ball.
Panthers v Cowboys, Pepper Stadium
One of the hardest matches to figure this round. I really liked what I saw from Penrith on the weekend and with Matt Moylan back and some continuity in their side I expect them to really give it to the Cowboys. The Cows arenâ€™t the best travellers so I think the betting should be closer than what it is. The Panthers donâ€™t give an inch, particularly at home, and Iâ€™ll always take the home team when the result looks too close to call.
Sharks v Titans, Southern Cross Group Stadium
The Sharks have put back-to-back wins together over decent opposition and should be confident of taking the two points against a plucky Titans side. This game looms as a definite banana peel for the Sharks, as the Titans have a crazy habit of pulling out upsets on the road. In fact, the Sharks fell victim to this exact trend last season when James Roberts swooped on an errant Wade Graham pass to snatch defeat from the jaws of near-certain victory. That said, itâ€™s a pretty solid Sharks outfit at the moment and I think they have the edge in the forwards and the halves and should get home by a try or two.
Knights v Tigers, Hunter Stadium
Yuck. Here we have the winless Knights who have showed plenty of ticker in recent weeks coming against a flashy Tigers outfit that play fast and loose with ball in hand and in their D. Thereâ€™s nothing in this game. The Knights were close to knocking over the Storm last weekend, and in what is just their second fixture at home in 2016 I think they will fancy their chances of breaking their duck. The Tigers can definitely sniff out a try, but they have let me down as road favourites in the past. With Tariq Sims returning for the Knights, I think the Novocastrians will pull out a stormer and jag their first win for the year.
Storm v Bulldogs, AAMI Park
These two sides sit second and seventh but to be honest their performances in 2016 have been scratchy. The Storm in particular have been the definition of â€œwinning uglyâ€, and were lucky to get out of jail against the Knights last weekend. The Dogs are similarly up-and-down, with crushing wins over a weakened South Sydney and Manly outfits sandwiched between some poor efforts against the Raiders and the Eels. Iâ€™m anticipating a fairly stodgy forward battle for Monday night football, and it seems like the kind of game the Doggies will relish. With five straight wins over the Storm, I think the Doggies can jag the upset.