Anybody who watched the first half of the North Queensland Cowboys v Wests Tigers game is probably thinking a few things.
Either the Tigers are a top 8 threat or the Cowboys are the worst team in the competition.
The Tigers are good and can definitely make the 8 this year but I think it is far more realistic that the Cowboys are the worst team in the competition.
I had predicted the Cowboys to get the spoon when I saw the six again rule change and looked at their big and slow forward pack.
Next thing I know they come out and blow the Titans off the park and win by 30 points.
So, for the entire next week, I thought maybe they aren’t as bad as I had predicted.
Then the next week they lose to the struggling Sharks, followed by the over-performing Warriors, before that first half blowout against the Tigers.
Now we are left wondering if the Cowboys are as bad as I had initially predicted and are they genuine spoon contenders?
Predicting the wooden spoon is arguably harder than picking the premiership winner.
This is because it can come down to for and against points and other contenders might be playing against top teams resting players, so take this prediction with a grain of salt.
Now it’s time to talk about the main reason why I think they’ll win the spoon. Let’s discuss their schedule.
There are reports that coach Paul Green is facing the axe if he can not turn their season around quickly and if I’m being honest, I think he’s all but gone.
Over the next six weeks, the Cowboys have the toughest run in the competition.
They face the Knights, Eels, Roosters, Panthers, Sea Eagles and Raiders; this is also known as 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 7th.
That is a horror run of teams and they’ll consider themselves lucky if they can scrap a single win out of those six games.
But they do have 3 easier games that they are a real chance to win.
In rounds 13, 16 and 17, they come up against the Titans, Sharks and Dragons respectively.
These are very winnable games and crucial for them to stay away from the bottom of the ladder.
But they also face the Rabbits, Knights again, Storm, Panthers again.
Then, in Round 20, they come up against the Broncos who realistically should have turned their season around by this point.
I’m not saying they are definitely winning the spoon because the Dragons, Dogs, Titans, Warriors and Sharks could all fall apart at any moment.
However, with that ridiculously tough run over the next six weeks Green’s on the chopping block and basically their entire forward pack being laterally slow big bodies, it’s a possibility.
I think the $19 odds for them to take out the spoon is as good value as you’ll find in the NRL betting markets.