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NRL Round 25 Best Bets and Predictions

Parramatta Eels winger Blake Ferguson

NRL round 25 best bets and predictions

This article contains some of the best bets of round 25 of the NRL. The lines, odds and totals listed may change as we get closer to the weekend.

Eels vs Sea Eagles

Round 24 was one Manly may wish never happened.

They were embarrassed by the Melbourne Storm at home and lost star player Tom Trbojevic to a torn pec, ruling him out for the rest of the 2019 season.

Trbojevic has been a transcendent talent for Manly over this season. From making game changing plays, to also being a key piece in the bulk of their attacking pieces, his loss will heavily affect Manly’s finals hopes.

Manly will, as a result, have to re-shuffle their team and game plan. Brendan Elliot will move to fullback and Corey Waddell from the bench, into the starting side.

The Storm were able to expose Moses Suli and Brad Parker on the right edge in their encounter last week.
Josh Addo Carr and Justin Olam combining for three tries attacking that side of the field.

I expect for the Parramatta Eels to take full advantage of this and they will shift the ball a lot more and attack Manly’s weak edge defence.

The Parramatta attack has improved with the late season addition of Waqa Blake.

Blake Ferguson and Blake played their first game together last round against the Broncos.

The centre/wing combination have had a full week training and a game together so any issues of cohesion we saw should be ironed out.

The Eels did have a small hot streak after stringing together three victories in a row against the Titans, Knights and Dragons.

Heading into this week though, they are coming off close losses to both the Bulldogs and the Broncos.

The Eels will want to regather the momentum they had and build some confidence heading into the first week of finals.

Best bet– Parramatta Eels -4 $1.90 (Bet Easy) Parramatta Eels HT/FT $2.10 (TAB)

Value- Parramatta Eels 13+ $3.15 (Bet Easy)

Try scorer– Michael Jennings $3.00 (Bet Easy)


Titans vs Dragons

Two people are watching this game: those on super coach, or degenerate gamblers like myself.

However, there is still money to be made.

Both teams have had significant changes to their team. Notably, Cameron McInnes, who is out with a broken leg.

The Dragons will miss his presence in and around the ruck as McInnes leads the NRL in tackles at 1,146, and has the 3rd most dummy half runs in the NRL.

St George Illawarra Dragons hooker Cameron McInnes

He has been the Dragons’ best player in 2019 despite going un-noticed because of his team’s disappointing season.

Honestly, I have no idea who will win this game.

Both teams are playing plenty of new and young talent with the hopes of them gaining some experience heading into 2020.

I can see, as a result, this game being high scoring. The last time these teams met, remember, there were 68 points on the board!

With both teams playing for nothing besides pride, they will play an open style and won’t be afraid to shift the ball and play some footy.

Best bet– Over 43.5 $1.88 (Neds)


West Tigers Vs Sharks

Sudden death.

Nervous tension will fill the air at Leichardt on Sunday afternoon, as when the final siren blows, one team will be moving into finals and the other will be preparing their mad Monday outfit.

The Tigers are coming off two convincing wins which highlighted their ability in attack but also their strong defence.

Michael Maguire is a defensive minded coach, who likes his teams playing physical and tough.

This can be seen through the Tigers 598 missed tackles – one of the best in the NRL.

Wests Tigers coach Michael Maguire

The Sharks had a disappointing loss, leading the Raiders by twelve points at half time, and losing in golden point 14-13… I can’t bet the Sharks this week.

That golden point stuff is against my gambling morals. Once a team loses like that, I can’t back them.

With my bias is in play, I can’t bet against the Tigers at Leichardt on a Sunday arvo.

The Sharks are too inconsistent and make crucial mistakes as they lead the comp in errors at 273.

The Tigers are a team who will be able to take advantage of any slip-ups while also clamping the Sharks on defence.

Best Bets– Tigers Win $2.10 (TAB) Tigers +2 $1.91 (Points Bet) Under 40.5 1.90 (Points Bet)

Value– Tigers 1-12 $3.30 (TAB)


 

NRL Round 24 best bets

Brisbane Broncos forward Payne Haas

This article contains some of the best bets of round 24 of the NRL. The lines, odds and totals listed may change as we get closer to the weekend.

Broncos vs Eels

The Broncos are coming off a disappointing loss to the Rabbitohs and will be raring to go against an Eels team who are missing Nathan Brown who received a 4-game suspension for his late shoulder charge on Dallin Watene-Zelezniak.

The Eels will miss both his presence in the middle but also the inspiring runs and hits he makes that ignite the team’s energy levels.

This is extremely disappointing, as I would have loved to see Lodge and Brown going head to head in the middle.

The Broncos will see the return of star back-rower Matt Gillett from a groin injury.

Gillett back will help them defensively but also his leadership and experience will help to calm the Broncos inexperienced and young edge, as Darius Boyd stated ‘Gillo is one of those guys when he runs out you feel a bit safer’.

Brisbane Broncos back-rower Matt Gillett

The Broncos have one of the best forward packs in the NRL leading the comp in tackle breaks at 824 and should be able to take advantage of a weakened Eels team who are poor defensively, as they have the 3rd most missed tackles in the NRL at 753.

Best Bet– Broncos -2.5 $1.90 (Bet Easy)

Value– Broncos 13+ $3.60 (Sports-bet)


Storm vs Manly

I wish there was a market for sin bins. These teams have a chequered past, including my personal favourite NRL fight.

Storm Vs Manly is always a game that gets my attention, and the games never disappoint…..not including the 2008 Grand Final.

Dessy Hasler gets his teams up for the big games, as we saw last week with an inspiring win over the Raiders in Canberra.

However, the Storm are coming off two disappointing games, letting an eighteen-point lead against a twelve manned Raiders team slip and being down two points at half time by this year’s wooden spooners.

Since Origin, Munster hasn’t been playing his best footy, and his frustration was visible during his half time interview with Hannah Hollis when he stated, ‘Its absolute sh-t from myself……I need to be better for the team’.

His poor performance could be a direct correlation of how he is attacking. Munster plays his best footy when he takes on the line, however, this year, he ranks 17th in the NRL in line engagements.

I think Munster will want to prove his game changing ability, and I expect him to have a good game.

Melbourne Storm utility back Cameron Munster

Manly are coming off one of their most physical games of the season and adding to that Joel Thompson is out with a broken arm.

I think the storm get the victory and prove to the competition that they are still capable to win the premiership.

Best Bet– Storm win $1.72 (Bet Easy)

Tryscorer– Cameron Munster $4.00 (BetEasy)


Sharks vs Raiders

The 7th placed Sharks look to retain a spot in the top eight with a win on Sunday arvo against the green machine.

Paul Gallen will play his last game at Shark Park and it will be an emotional filled game for both Gallen and his teammates.

The Sharks will be playing with a high level of intensity from kick off,  however, while the sharks will be playing off sheer emotion, the Raiders are a team that, in my opinion, can win the premiership.

Anytime a team can come back from an 18-point deficit and defeat the best team in the NRL shows what type of character and ability this football team has.

Canberra Raiders centre and captain Jarrod Croker

I’m leaning the Sharks to get the win as the Raiders are coming off a tough game against Manly and also have lost Joseph Leilua to suspension.

This game should come down to the last ten minutes as these teams have a history of close games as the last three matches have been decided by four points or less.

Best Bets

-Tri-Bet Either team under 8.5 points $2.14 (Points Bet)

– Sharks Win $2.05 (Bet 365)