It’s the Easter weekend this week and with some big clashes looming, tipping does not get any easier. But the guru Tipping Point is here to help you make the right choices.
Round 4 Tips
Season: 15/24 (63%); last week: 3/8
At a glance: Bulldogs, Broncos, Raiders, Sea-Eagles, Panthers, Warriors, Eels, Storm
Rabbitohs v Bulldogs, ANZ Stadium
The next instalment of the now traditional Good Friday clash between the Dogs and the Bunnies looks set to deliver another bruising forward battle. With both sides coming off losses I expect them to aim up, but I definitely lean towards the Bulldogs. With a five-day turnaround and no Sam Burgess, the big Doggies pack should win the battle of the middle, leaving Mbye and Reynolds to get their attack into gear.
Broncos v Cowboys, Suncorp Stadium
Footy fans have been waiting since last October to see this game, with the Broncos out for revenge and the Cows looking to reassert their premiership credentials. Amazingly, the Cowboys are fielding the exact same 17 from October, and the same 17 thatâ€™ve turned up across the opening three rounds in 2016 and the World Club Challenge. Itâ€™s a really close call, but I have to take the Broncos, mainly off the back of their Suncorp pedigree. They just tend to get the job done at Suncorp and I think theyâ€™ll be absolutely seething after dropping a 16-point lead last week â€“ as if they didnâ€™t need any more motivation for a big effort in the GF rematch.
Raiders v Titans
The line is absolutely ridiculous in this game â€“ the Titans are out to almost $3 in some markets, and I really see these two as neck and neck. Both sides will head to Canberra Stadium with some solid wins under their belt, and with two big sets of forwards I can see this being a real grinding affair. The Titans are an underrated side that tend to travel well, and I think theyâ€™ll put a scare through the Green Machine who are desperately missing their first-choice halves pairing. The Raiders should get home, but itâ€™ll be by a narrow margin and with plenty of anxious moments for their fans.
Roosters v Sea-Eagles, Allianz Stadium
The Roosters are on an absolute hiding to nothing as things go from bad to worse for Trent Robinsonâ€™s men after a 40-point drubbing in Townsville last week. The Chooksâ€™ depth will be further tested with Dale Copley out with a torn pec, and Ian Henderson hanging up the boots after a shocking broken leg suffered against the Cowboys. Despite all that, something tells me the Roosters are a real chance in this game; Manly are pretty unappealing on the road and their current form isnâ€™t much to write home about, even with their win against the Sharks last Monday. Iâ€™m going to stick with the Sea-Eagles but a Roosters win would not surprise. Back it if you dare.
Dragons v Penrith, WIN Stadium
This game is the hardest to pick in round four. Both sides broke their duck last week, with the Dragons outlasting the Bunnies in a monsoon-induced slugfest, whereas the Panthers defied a 16-point deficit and insanely long-odds to snatch a win off the Broncos. Across the first three weeks of the comp Iâ€™d say the Panthers have been the more impressive, and could easily be sitting on three wins. With Moylan rumoured to return, a good recent record over the Red V and their forward pack looking impressive, I think the Panthers can spring an upset here.
Warriors v Knights, Mt Smart Stadium
The Warriors wonâ€™t get a better chance to break into the winnersâ€™ circle than taking on the winless Knights at home. While the Knights showed some glimpses of mettle in their draw with Canberra last week, the Warriors will be absolutely desperate to get their first win and I canâ€™t see anything other than a Warriors win on Easter Monday. They were close against the Broncos, even closer against the Storm, and I think theyâ€™ll barge the door down against the Novocastrians.
Tigers v Eels, ANZ Stadium
A really tough tip, and another with a misleading line. Both of these sides have been super impressive to start the season and the Tigers donâ€™t deserve to be as long as they are, especially with former skipper Robbie Farah returning. That said, based on what the Eels have delivered across the past few weeks they look to be the better option and should get the two points in what promises to be a ripper contest.
Sharks v Storm, Southern Cross Group Stadium
The Sharks will again feature in MNF and theyâ€™ll be hoping for an improved performance after their second-half capitulation to Manly last week. Things wonâ€™t get any easier for them with the Storm heading to the Shire off the back of three straight wins and sitting alone atop the competition table. The Sharks are favoured with the bookies, but once again I have a gut feel that the Storm will get the job done. They have looked professional and composed in all of their games in 2016, and the Sharks for mine just have a few little wrinkles to iron out of their offence and I donâ€™t think their halves have quite clicked. Iâ€™m not going to betting the house on it, but the Storm will definitely take some beating.
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